Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.469490 0.551489 0.641538 0.747489 0.868449 1.001939 1.160101
2024-10-27 0.342043 0.450315 0.581060 0.749336 0.958809 1.209513 1.530646
2024-11-03 0.267919 0.389139 0.547807 0.767804 1.061551 1.436475 1.946757
2024-11-10 0.214517 0.340056 0.516441 0.777199 1.146627 1.644012 2.355376
2024-11-17 0.174588 0.299768 0.487257 0.780647 1.218348 1.835311 2.755572
2024-11-24 0.146733 0.271021 0.468245 0.792888 1.299666 2.042929 3.192193
2024-12-01 0.123163 0.243899 0.446229 0.795344 1.363491 2.227352 3.607014
2024-12-08 0.099410 0.211312 0.409420 0.767616 1.374820 2.330908 3.906072
2024-12-15 0.088499 0.199817 0.406231 0.794261 1.474509 2.576576 4.438450
2024-12-22 0.078329 0.187614 0.399563 0.813165 1.561746 2.807494 4.962147
2024-12-29 0.073170 0.184573 0.409230 0.861949 1.703919 3.137252 5.665816
2025-01-05 0.063031 0.168731 0.391567 0.857165 1.749779 3.308027 6.117415
2025-01-12 0.053665 0.152920 0.372075 0.847379 1.787269 3.470363 6.571985
2025-01-19 0.045923 0.139247 0.354908 0.839937 1.828160 3.641472 7.053376
2025-01-26 0.041058 0.131701 0.349902 0.856726 1.916882 3.904073 7.711413
2025-02-02 0.036327 0.123394 0.341798 0.865698 1.990503 4.143533 8.342319
2025-02-09 0.031913 0.114875 0.331767 0.868973 2.052375 4.364576 8.952306
2025-02-16 0.028593 0.108731 0.326518 0.882221 2.135699 4.631315 9.661483
2025-02-23 0.025204 0.101486 0.317260 0.884844 2.196303 4.857432 10.306732
2025-03-02 0.020954 0.090213 0.295416 0.854371 2.181727 4.933568 10.669769
2025-03-09 0.019455 0.087938 0.297732 0.883616 2.302176 5.287937 11.589912
2025-03-16 0.017808 0.084687 0.296763 0.904363 2.404889 5.612038 12.467251
2025-03-23 0.017291 0.085567 0.307971 0.957883 2.587498 6.111741 13.717619